What is the current probability for "Desai vs Arakawa"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Desai vs Arakawa": Haruna Arakawa 76%, Zeel Desai 23% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26AUG14DESARA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Desai vs Arakawa

·Sports·ends Aug 28, 2026

vol cum

$68.6k

vol 24h

$60.6k

outcomes

ends

Aug 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Haruna Arakawa

rank #1

76¢

▲ 76.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$29k

vol 24h

$24.4k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 28, 2026

If Haruna Arakawa wins the Desai vs Arakawa professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Astana Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 28, 2026

Haruna Arakawa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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