What is the current probability for "Manta vs Bonelli"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Manta vs Bonelli": Elsa Bonelli 98%, Noelia Manta 3% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26AUG20MANBON. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Manta vs Bonelli

·Sports·ends Sep 3, 2026

vol cum

$24.8k

vol 24h

$24k

outcomes

ends

Sep 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Elsa Bonelli

rank #1

98¢

▲ 36.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$14k

vol 24h

$14k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 3, 2026

If Elsa Bonelli wins the Manta vs Bonelli professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Verbier Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Sep 3, 2026

Elsa Bonelli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.