What is the current probability for "Vasilescu vs Lukas"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Vasilescu vs Lukas": Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 58%, Tena Lukas 42% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26AUG26VASLUK. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Vasilescu vs Lukas

·Sports·ends Sep 9, 2026

vol cum

$35.3k

vol 24h

$21.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arina Gabriela Vasilescu

rank #1

58¢

▲ 58.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$17.6k

vol 24h

$10.9k

spread

0.06

ends

Sep 9, 2026

If Arina Gabriela Vasilescu wins the Vasilescu vs Lukas professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Oldenzaal Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 25, 2026opencloses · Sep 9, 2026

Arina Gabriela Vasilescu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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