What is the current probability for "Lacasse vs Bonardi"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Lacasse vs Bonardi": Raphaelle Lacasse 65%, Berta Bonardi 37% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26AUG30LACBON. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Lacasse vs Bonardi

·Sports·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$25.6k

vol 24h

$22.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Raphaelle Lacasse

rank #1

65¢

▲ 65.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$12k

vol 24h

$11.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 13, 2026

If Raphaelle Lacasse wins the Lacasse vs Bonardi professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Leiria Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 29, 2026opencloses · Sep 13, 2026

Raphaelle Lacasse · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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