What is the current probability for "Soares vs Arce Gonzalez"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Soares vs Arce Gonzalez": Mayra Arce Gonzalez 71%, Mariana Soares 30% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL06SOAARC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Soares vs Arce Gonzalez

·Sports·ends Jul 20, 2026

vol cum

$124.4k

vol 24h

$105.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mayra Arce Gonzalez

rank #1

71¢

▲ 71.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$70.2k

vol 24h

$65.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 20, 2026

If Mayra Arce Gonzalez wins the Soares vs Arce Gonzalez professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Rio Claro Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 6, 2026opencloses · Jul 20, 2026

Mayra Arce Gonzalez · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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