What is the current probability for "Chapman vs Smirnova"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Chapman vs Smirnova": Ksenia Smirnova 66%, Danielle Dai Chapman 39% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL09CHASMI. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Chapman vs Smirnova

·Sports·ends Jul 23, 2026

vol cum

$198.2k

vol 24h

$152.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ksenia Smirnova

rank #1

66¢

▲ 76.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$72.8k

vol 24h

$53.9k

spread

0.04

ends

Jul 23, 2026

If Ksenia Smirnova wins the Chapman vs Smirnova professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Hillcrest Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jul 23, 2026

Ksenia Smirnova · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.