What is the current probability for "Bastianelli vs Bougouffa"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Bastianelli vs Bougouffa": Mila Bastianelli 53%, Hanna Bougouffa 47% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL19BASBOU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Bastianelli vs Bougouffa

·Sports·ends Aug 2, 2026

vol cum

$666.3k

vol 24h

$666k

outcomes

ends

Aug 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mila Bastianelli

rank #1

53¢

▼ 10.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$343.8k

vol 24h

$343.6k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 2, 2026

If Mila Bastianelli wins the Bastianelli vs Bougouffa professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Nogent-sur-Marne Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 19, 2026opencloses · Aug 2, 2026

Mila Bastianelli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.