What is the current probability for "Thompson vs Arakawa"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Thompson vs Arakawa": Belle Thompson 57%, Natsuho Arakawa 44% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/6/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL22THOARA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Thompson vs Arakawa

·Sports·ends Aug 6, 2026

vol cum

$556k

vol 24h

$416.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Belle Thompson

rank #1

57¢

▲ 57.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$236.4k

vol 24h

$163.5k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 6, 2026

If Belle Thompson wins the Thompson vs Arakawa professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Brisbane Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026opencloses · Aug 6, 2026

Belle Thompson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.