What is the current probability for "Arakawa vs Uchijima"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arakawa vs Uchijima": Natsuho Arakawa 98%, Maiko Uchijima 2% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL23ARAUCH. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Arakawa vs Uchijima

·Sports·ends Aug 7, 2026

vol cum

$1.9M

vol 24h

$1.6M

outcomes

ends

Aug 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Natsuho Arakawa

rank #1

98¢

▲ 75.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$981.7k

vol 24h

$798.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 7, 2026

If Natsuho Arakawa wins the Arakawa vs Uchijima professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Brisbane Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026opencloses · Aug 7, 2026

Natsuho Arakawa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.