What is the current probability for "Kaibekova vs Maruca"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Kaibekova vs Maruca": Polina Kaibekova 99%, Melina Maria Maruca 4% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL28KAIMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Kaibekova vs Maruca

·Sports·ends Aug 11, 2026

vol cum

$187.3k

vol 24h

$184.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Polina Kaibekova

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$53.9k

vol 24h

$53.2k

spread

0.03

ends

Aug 11, 2026

If Polina Kaibekova wins the Kaibekova vs Maruca professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Pergamino Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 28, 2026opencloses · Aug 11, 2026

Polina Kaibekova · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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