What is the current probability for "Martinez Vaquero vs Van Emst"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Martinez Vaquero vs Van Emst": Sarah Van Emst 60%, Maria Martinez Vaquero 43% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL28MARVAN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Martinez Vaquero vs Van Emst

·Sports·ends Aug 11, 2026

vol cum

$124.3k

vol 24h

$124.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Sarah Van Emst

rank #1

60¢

▲ 60.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$69.1k

vol 24h

$69k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 11, 2026

If Sarah Van Emst wins the Martinez Vaquero vs Van Emst professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Knokke-Heist Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 27, 2026opencloses · Aug 11, 2026

Sarah Van Emst · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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