What is the current probability for "Arakawa vs Stevens"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arakawa vs Stevens": Natsuho Arakawa 53%, Amy Stevens 49% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/14/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUL30ARASTE. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Arakawa vs Stevens

·Sports·ends Aug 14, 2026

vol cum

$169.6k

vol 24h

$164.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Natsuho Arakawa

rank #1

53¢

▲ 53.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$85.7k

vol 24h

$83.4k

spread

0.03

ends

Aug 14, 2026

If Natsuho Arakawa wins the Arakawa vs Stevens professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Brisbane Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Aug 14, 2026

Natsuho Arakawa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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