What is the current probability for "Thompson vs Nozdrachova"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Thompson vs Nozdrachova": Belle Thompson 90%, Mariia Nozdrachova 9% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26JUN28THONOZ. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Thompson vs Nozdrachova

·Sports·ends Jul 12, 2026

vol cum

$62.4k

vol 24h

$39.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Belle Thompson

rank #1

90¢

▲ 90.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$10.5k

vol 24h

$10.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 12, 2026

If Belle Thompson wins the Thompson vs Nozdrachova professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Elvas Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 28, 2026opencloses · Jul 12, 2026

Belle Thompson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.