What is the current probability for "Bains vs Hercog"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Bains vs Hercog": Polona Hercog 99%, Naiktha Bains 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 15, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26OCT01BAIHER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Bains vs Hercog

·Sports·ends Oct 15, 2026

vol cum

$639.9k

vol 24h

$618.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Polona Hercog

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 92.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$376.3k

vol 24h

$355.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 15, 2026

If Polona Hercog wins the Bains vs Hercog professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Quinta do Lago Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 30, 2026closedresolved · Oct 1, 2026

Polona Hercog · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.