What is the current probability for "Maria vs Rapolu"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Maria vs Rapolu": Tatjana Maria 99%, Malaika Rapolu 2% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26OCT02MARRAP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Maria vs Rapolu

·Sports·ends Oct 16, 2026

vol cum

$450.2k

vol 24h

$393.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Tatjana Maria

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$181.5k

vol 24h

$152.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 16, 2026

If Tatjana Maria wins the Maria vs Rapolu professional tennis match in the 2026 W100 Templeton CA Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 16, 2026

Tatjana Maria · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.