What is the current probability for "Refaat vs Moreno"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Refaat vs Moreno": Merna Refaat 99%, Carlota Moreno 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26OCT02REFMOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Refaat vs Moreno

·Sports·ends Oct 16, 2026

vol cum

$891.9k

vol 24h

$889.4k

outcomes

ends

Oct 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Merna Refaat

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$455.7k

vol 24h

$453.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 16, 2026

If Merna Refaat wins the Refaat vs Moreno professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Nashville TN Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 2, 2026closedresolved · Oct 2, 2026

Merna Refaat · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.