What is the current probability for "Poling vs Ciocan"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Poling vs Ciocan": Lilian Poling 99%, Milena Maria Ciocan 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 18, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26OCT04POLCIO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Poling vs Ciocan

·Sports·ends Oct 18, 2026

vol cum

$255k

vol 24h

$255k

outcomes

ends

Oct 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lilian Poling

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$130.2k

vol 24h

$130.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 18, 2026

If Lilian Poling wins the Poling vs Ciocan professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 3, 2026closedresolved · Oct 4, 2026

Lilian Poling · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.