What is the current probability for "Thamm vs ERLER"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Thamm vs ERLER": Mariella Thamm 99%, Savine ERLER 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 18, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26OCT04THAERL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Thamm vs ERLER

·Sports·ends Oct 18, 2026

vol cum

$23.2k

vol 24h

$23.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mariella Thamm

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$5.1k

vol 24h

$5.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 18, 2026

If Mariella Thamm wins the Thamm vs ERLER professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 3, 2026closedresolved · Oct 4, 2026

Mariella Thamm · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.