What is the current probability for "Nesmianovych vs Tran"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nesmianovych vs Tran": Lian Tran 84%, Alina Nesmianovych 17% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP02NESTRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nesmianovych vs Tran

·Sports·ends Sep 16, 2026

vol cum

$199.3k

vol 24h

$164.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lian Tran

rank #1

84¢

▲ 84.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$61.2k

vol 24h

$50.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 16, 2026

If Lian Tran wins the Nesmianovych vs Tran professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Haren Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Sep 16, 2026

Lian Tran · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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