What is the current probability for "Moraes vs Elliott"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Moraes vs Elliott": Olivia Elliott 51%, Maria Moraes 49% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 28, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP14MORELL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Moraes vs Elliott

·Sports·ends Sep 28, 2026

vol cum

$16.9k

vol 24h

$16.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Olivia Elliott

rank #1 · resolved: yes

51¢

▲ 51.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.2k

vol 24h

$9.2k

spread

0.02

ends

Sep 28, 2026

If Olivia Elliott wins the Moraes vs Elliott professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Sao Luis Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 13, 2026closedresolved · Sep 28, 2026

Olivia Elliott · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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