What is the current probability for "Tran vs Chiarello"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Tran vs Chiarello": Demi Tran 99%, Kim Chiarello 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 28, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP14TRACHI. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Tran vs Chiarello

·Sports·ends Sep 28, 2026

vol cum

$98.7k

vol 24h

$98.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Demi Tran

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$70.3k

vol 24h

$70.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 28, 2026

If Demi Tran wins the Tran vs Chiarello professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Le Neubourg Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 13, 2026closedresolved · Sep 14, 2026

Demi Tran · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.