What is the current probability for "Masiianskaia vs Mariani"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Masiianskaia vs Mariani": Matilde Mariani 96%, Mariia Masiianskaia 5% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 30, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP16MASMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Masiianskaia vs Mariani

·Sports·ends Sep 30, 2026

vol cum

$38.8k

vol 24h

$38.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Matilde Mariani

rank #1

96¢

▲ 96.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$23.6k

vol 24h

$23.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 30, 2026

If Matilde Mariani wins the Masiianskaia vs Mariani professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Monastir Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026opencloses · Sep 30, 2026

Matilde Mariani · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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