What is the current probability for "Toma vs Paoletti"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Toma vs Paoletti": Matilde Paoletti 99%, Maria Toma 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 30, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP16TOMPAO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Toma vs Paoletti

·Sports·ends Sep 30, 2026

vol cum

$285.1k

vol 24h

$285.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Matilde Paoletti

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$85.4k

vol 24h

$85.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 30, 2026

If Matilde Paoletti wins the Toma vs Paoletti professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026closedresolved · Sep 16, 2026

Matilde Paoletti · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.