What is the current probability for "Dias vs Marquez"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Dias vs Marquez": Beatriz Dias 51%, Sofia Lucia Marquez 51% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP21DIAMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Dias vs Marquez

·Sports·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$13k

vol 24h

$13k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Beatriz Dias

rank #1

51¢

▲ 51.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$11.8k

vol 24h

$11.8k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If Beatriz Dias wins the Dias vs Marquez professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Belem Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 20, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

Beatriz Dias · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.