What is the current probability for "Refaat vs Ma"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Refaat vs Ma": Connie Ma 99%, Merna Refaat 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP21REFMAX. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Refaat vs Ma

·Sports·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$2.6M

vol 24h

$2.6M

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Connie Ma

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 96.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.2M

vol 24h

$1.2M

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If Connie Ma wins the Refaat vs Ma professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Berkeley CA Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026closedresolved · Sep 21, 2026

Connie Ma · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.