What is the current probability for "Tsao vs Nakashima"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Tsao vs Nakashima": Chia Yi Tsao 99%, Miyu Nakashima 2% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP21TSANAK. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Tsao vs Nakashima

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$215k

vol 24h

$152.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chia Yi Tsao

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$64k

vol 24h

$54k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Chia Yi Tsao wins the Tsao vs Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Nanao Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

Chia Yi Tsao · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.