What is the current probability for "Shimizu vs Tsao"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Shimizu vs Tsao": Eri Shimizu 99%, Chia Yi Tsao 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 7, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP22SHITSA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Shimizu vs Tsao

·Sports·ends Oct 7, 2026

vol cum

$142.5k

vol 24h

$142.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Eri Shimizu

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$47k

vol 24h

$46.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 7, 2026

If Eri Shimizu wins the Shimizu vs Tsao professional tennis match in the 2026 W50 Nanao Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 22, 2026closedresolved · Sep 23, 2026

Eri Shimizu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.