What is the current probability for "Simes vs Thompson"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Simes vs Thompson": Ashleigh Simes 80%, Belle Thompson 22% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP29SIMTHO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Simes vs Thompson

·Sports·ends Oct 14, 2026

vol cum

$176k

vol 24h

$136.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ashleigh Simes

rank #1

80¢

▲ 80.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$62k

vol 24h

$46.6k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 14, 2026

If Ashleigh Simes wins the Simes vs Thompson professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Wagga Wagga Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 29, 2026opencloses · Oct 14, 2026

Ashleigh Simes · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.