What is the current probability for "Bains vs Martinez Vaquero"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Bains vs Martinez Vaquero": Naiktha Bains 74%, Maria Martinez Vaquero 28% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP30BAIMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Bains vs Martinez Vaquero

·Sports·ends Oct 14, 2026

vol cum

$54.5k

vol 24h

$54.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Naiktha Bains

rank #1

74¢

▲ 74.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$54.4k

vol 24h

$54.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 14, 2026

If Naiktha Bains wins the Bains vs Martinez Vaquero professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Quinta do Lago Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 29, 2026opencloses · Oct 14, 2026

Naiktha Bains · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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