What is the current probability for "Ionescu vs Mattioli"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ionescu vs Mattioli": Eva Maria Ionescu 53%, Francesca Mattioli 46% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP30IONMAT. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Ionescu vs Mattioli

·Sports·ends Oct 14, 2026

vol cum

$51.5k

vol 24h

$49.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Eva Maria Ionescu

rank #1

53¢

▲ 53.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$26.8k

vol 24h

$26.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 14, 2026

If Eva Maria Ionescu wins the Ionescu vs Mattioli professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Nashville TN Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 30, 2026opencloses · Oct 14, 2026

Eva Maria Ionescu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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