event7 outcomes

How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?

Kalshi·Elections·ends May 2, 2027

As of 01:24 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?” on Kalshi are “At least 8” at 90%, “At least 5” at 72% (+2pp in 24h) and “At least 12” at 35% (-55pp in 24h). The event has $564 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

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$885

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$564

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May 2, 2027

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At least 8

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United States

90¢

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24h change

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$11

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0.10

ends

May 2, 2027

If the number of Democratic Representatives who vote for a candidate other than Hakeem Jeffries, or vote Present, on the first roll call for Speaker of the House at the opening of the 120th Congress is at least 8 before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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opened · Nov 7, 2026opencloses · May 2, 2027

At least 8 · prices over time

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