Question 1

What is the current probability for "Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30th"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30th" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/11/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26JUN04. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30th

Markets

At least 205000

At least 210000

At least 215000

At least 220000

At least 235000

At least 225000

At least 230000

At least 240000

At least 195000

At least 200000