Question 1

What is the current probability for "Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19, 2026"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19, 2026": At least 180,000 95%, At least 185,000 93%, At least 190,000 74% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26SEP24. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19, 2026

similar markets