What is the current probability for "Erling Haaland: Next Club"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Erling Haaland: Next Club": Manchester City 99%, Barcelona 2%, Arsenal 1% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 9, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02EHAALAND. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

Erling Haaland: Next Club

·Sports·ends Oct 9, 2026

vol cum

$63.5k

vol 24h

$21.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Manchester City

rank #1

99¢

vol cum

$8.6k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 9, 2026

If Erling Haaland's next club is Manchester City before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 28, 2026opencloses · Oct 9, 2026

Manchester City · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.