event6 outcomes

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Apr 4, 2027

As of 08:40 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?” on Kalshi are “At least 50” at 53% (+53pp in 24h), “At least 75” at 40% (+40pp in 24h) and “At least 100” at 24% (+24pp in 24h). The event has $6.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$6.5k

vol 24h

$6.5k

outcomes

ends

Apr 4, 2027

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marketselected outcome

At least 50

rank #1

United States

53¢

▲ 53.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$540

vol 24h

$540

spread

0.08

ends

Apr 4, 2027

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 50 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 2, 2026opencloses · Apr 4, 2027

At least 50 · prices over time

−24h

now

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