What is the current probability for "LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season"?

"Yes" is currently 1% (-2pp in the last 24h) on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLBJRETIRE-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season

·Sports

▼ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.2M

vol 24h

$82.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 31, 2026

Yes 1¢

No 99¢

If LeBron James announces their retirement before the date of the first 2026-27 season regular season game, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will resolve to Yes if LeBron James announces his retirement prior to the start of 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season. Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. This market applies to retiring from the league, not the sport as a whole.

timeline

opened · Jun 13, 2025opencloses · Oct 31, 2026

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