What is the current probability for "Dale Caldwell out as New Jersey Lieutenant Governor?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Dale Caldwell out as New Jersey Lieutenant Governor?": Before Nov 1, 2026 99%, Before Oct 1, 2026 99% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLEAVECALDWELL-26NOV01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Dale Caldwell out as New Jersey Lieutenant Governor?

·Politics·ends Nov 8, 2026

vol cum

$10.7k

vol 24h

$10.7k

outcomes

ends

Nov 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Nov 1, 2026

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.3k

vol 24h

$4.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Nov 8, 2026

If Dale Caldwell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey or has actually left as Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 25, 2026closedresolved · Sep 25, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history