What is the current probability for "Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 2, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 2, 2026?": 77° to 78° 97%, 75° to 76° 4%, 72° or below 2% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLOWTCHI-26JUL02. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 2, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 9, 2026

vol cum

$26.8k

vol 24h

$23.8k

outcomes

ends

Jul 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

77° to 78°

rank #1

United States

97¢

▲ 66.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4k

vol 24h

$3.8k

spread

0.16

ends

Jul 9, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jul 2, 2026, is between 77-78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026opencloses · Jul 9, 2026

77° to 78° · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history