What is the current probability for "Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?": 58° to 59° 95%, 56° to 57° 5%, 52° to 53° 1% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLOWTSFO-26JUL12. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 19, 2026

vol cum

$5.8k

vol 24h

$4.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

58° to 59°

rank #1

United States

95¢

▲ 17.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.3k

vol 24h

$1.2k

spread

0.13

ends

Jul 19, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 12, 2026, is between 58-59° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 11, 2026opencloses · Jul 19, 2026

58° to 59° · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history