opentrade on 
↗
↗event10 outcomes
Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?
·Elections·ends Jul 30, 2027vol cum
$3.9k
vol 24h
$2.2k
outcomes
10
ends
Jul 30, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Labour, ≥10%
rank #1
United Kingdom
83¢
▲ 5.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$940
vol 24h
$646
spread
0.01
ends
Jul 30, 2027
If the margin of victory for the Labour Party in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 30, 2027
Labour, ≥10% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
polymarketGreater Manchester Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
Bev Craig 15%+79¢· 0.0ppBev Craig <5%1¢· 0.0ppSian Astley 5%+2¢▲ 1.1pp
+4 others
$92 24h · 7 markets
kalshiGreater Manchester mayoral election winner?
Labour95¢· 0.0ppGreen1¢▼ 1.0ppReform UK3¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
$900 24h · 6 markets
polymarketGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Geraldine Coggins1¢· 0.0ppSian Astley1¢▼ 0.2ppBev Craig98¢▼ 0.1pp
+48 others
$225 24h · 51 markets
kalshiGreater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place
Conservative Party2¢▼ 2.0ppGreen Party31¢▼ 3.0ppLiberal Democrat3¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
$4.5k 24h · 6 markets
polymarketGreater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes
Bev Craig95¢▼ 0.5ppRichard Kilpatrick50¢· 0.0ppPerson E50¢· 0.0pp
+33 others
$10 24h · 36 markets
kalshiClacton by-election margin of victory?
Reform UK, ≥40%70¢▼ 1.0ppReform UK, ≥35%70¢· 0.0ppReform UK, ≥60%38¢▼ 4.0pp
+13 others
$898 24h · 16 markets