opentrade on
↗
event8 outcomes
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
vol cum
$1.6k
vol 24h
$1.6k
outcomes
8
ends
Feb 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
marketselected outcome
At least 10
rank #1
41¢
▲ 41.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$550
vol 24h
$550
spread
0.15
ends
Feb 1, 2027
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 10 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2027
At least 10 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataStrait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)
At least 154¢▲ 3.0ppAt least 104¢· 0.0ppAt least 502¢
+5 others
$98 24h · 8 markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
40+2¢▼ 46.5pp50+2¢▼ 47.0pp10+43¢▼ 5.0pp
+2 others
$1k 24h · 5 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
yes21¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Above 498¢· 0.0ppAbove 815¢· 0.0ppAbove 104¢▼ 1.0pp
+3 others
$6.1k 24h · 6 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
20-250¢▼ 25.1pp0-556¢▲ 31.0pp15-205¢▼ 21.0pp
+4 others
$2k 24h · 7 markets
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
October 13¢▼ 12.0ppSeptember 3079¢▲ 55.0ppOctober 216¢· 0.0pp
+4 others
$9.6k 24h · 7 markets