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Alaska Senate margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 23:55 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Alaska Senate margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts” at 12% (+12pp in 24h), “Dan Sullivan, 10+ pts” at 0% and “Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts” at 0%. The event has $162 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.

vol cum

$162

vol 24h

$162

outcomes

5

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts

rank #1

United States

12¢

▲ 12.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$162

vol 24h

$162

spread

0.79

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 21, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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suggested by pdata

Kalshi

Alaska Senate margin of victory

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Polymarket

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Polymarket

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 0-3%30¢▼ 1.0ppSullivan 0-3%19¢· 0.0ppSullivan 12+%2¢▲ 1.4pp

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