event10 outcomes

Arizona's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 19:38 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “Arizona's 4th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Stanton, 4+ pts” at 93%, “Stanton, 10+ pts” at 78% and “Stanton, 13+ pts” at 56%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$12.8k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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Stanton, 4+ pts

rank #1

United States

93¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2k

vol 24h

spread

0.07

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 4th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Stanton, 4+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

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