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Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027vol cum
$12.6k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2027
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marketselected outcome
Democrats, 4+ pts
rank #1
United States
93¢
vol cum
$2k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 4th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Democrats, 4+ pts · prices over time
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