What is the current probability for "Colorado's 5th District margin of victory"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Colorado's 5th District margin of victory": Republicans, 1+ pts 63%, Republicans, 4+ pts 53%, Republicans, 7+ pts 35% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CO05R. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Colorado's 5th District margin of victory

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

vol cum

$12.8k

vol 24h

$145

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

Republicans, 1+ pts

rank #1

United States

63¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$955

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Colorado's 5th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Republicans, 1+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history