opentrade on 
↗
↗event2 outcomes
Florida's 15th District margin of victory
·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027vol cum
$601
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Democrats, 2+ pts
rank #1
United States
13¢
vol cum
$600
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 15th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Democrats, 2+ pts · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdatakalshiFlorida's 15th District margin of victory
Republicans, 4+ pts80¢Republicans, 7+ pts80¢Republicans, 10+ pts63¢
+4 others
$0 24h · 7 markets
polymarketFL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Republican 30%+5¢▼ 3.0ppRepublican 0-5%12¢▼ 4.5ppRepublican 10-15%17¢▼ 1.0pp
+8 others
$80 24h · 11 markets
kalshiFlorida's 5th District margin of victory
Republicans, 17+ pts44¢Republicans, 11+ pts0¢Republicans, 14+ pts0¢
+6 others
$0 24h · 9 markets
polymarketFL-15 House Election Winner
Republican Party93¢▲ 0.4ppDemocratic Party6¢Other—
+5 others
$5 24h · 8 markets
kalshiFlorida's 16th District margin of victory
Republicans, 1+ pts72¢Republicans, 4+ pts57¢Republicans, 7+ pts49¢
+5 others
$0 24h · 8 markets
kalshiTexas's 15th District margin of victory
Republicans, 1+ pts41¢· 0.0ppRepublicans, 7+ pts22¢Republicans, 4+ pts21¢
+2 others
$0 24h · 5 markets