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event9 outcomes

Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 18:30 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Case, 30+ pts” at 92% (-2pp in 24h), “Case, 36+ pts” at 85% and “Case, 33+ pts” at 76%. The event has $428 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$2.4k
vol 24h
$428
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Case, 30+ pts
rank #1
United States
92¢
▼ 1.9pp
24h change
vol cum
$597
vol 24h
$8
spread
0.11
ends
Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Hawaii's 1st District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Case, 30+ pts · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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