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event3 outcomes
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
vol cum
$3.1k
vol 24h
$245
outcomes
3
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Democrats, 3+ pts
rank #1
United States
35¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.05
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Democrats, 3+ pts · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
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