What is the current probability for "South Carolina's 5th District margin of victory"?

Current Kalshi odds for "South Carolina's 5th District margin of victory": Republicans, 12+ pts 0%, Republicans, 15+ pts 0%, Republicans, 18+ pts 0% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-SC05R. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

South Carolina's 5th District margin of victory

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

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Republicans, 12+ pts

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United States

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0.06

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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 5th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

prices over time · Republicans, 12+ pts highlighted

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