event11 outcomes

Tennessee's 1st District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 02:51 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “Tennessee's 1st District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Harshbarger, 40+ pts” at 70%, “Harshbarger, 43+ pts” at 62% and “Harshbarger, 46+ pts” at 58%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$577

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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Harshbarger, 40+ pts

rank #1

United States

70¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$140

vol 24h

spread

0.11

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 1st District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Harshbarger, 40+ pts · prices over time

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