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Virginia Senate margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 05:07 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “Virginia Senate margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Warner, 11+ pts” at 99%, “Warner, 17+ pts” at 74% and “Warner, 15+ pts” at 68%. The event has $354 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$2.8k

vol 24h

$354

outcomes

13

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 13

marketselected outcome

Warner, 11+ pts

rank #1

United States

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$227

vol 24h

$0

spread

0.08

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 28, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Warner, 11+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

Polymarket

Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+50¢▲ 7.0ppRepublican 0-3%3¢▲ 2.8ppPerson A50¢

$455 24h · 12 markets

Kalshi

Virginia Senate winner?

Bert Mizusawa2¢▼ 0.7ppMark Warner98¢▼ 0.4pp

$668 24h · 2 markets

Gemini

Virginia US Senate Winner

Mark Warner98¢Mark Moran2¢

$0 24h · 2 markets

Polymarket

Virginia Senate Election Winner

Mark Warner (D)98¢▼ 0.1ppBert Mizusawa (R)2¢▲ 0.1ppPerson A—

$0 24h · 13 markets

Kalshi

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

Capito, 36+ pts44¢· 0.0ppCapito, 26+ pts88¢· 0.0ppCapito, 34+ pts49¢

$1 24h · 11 markets

Polymarket

West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%22¢▼ 6.5ppRepublican 35-40%28¢▲ 8.0ppRepublican 40-45%12¢▲ 0.5pp

$178 24h · 13 markets